Tuesday 30 December 2008

Generalisation and linkages in econometrics

Growth econometrics may benefit if it attempted to link new research with past research more thoroughly than it does at present, and establish new abstract generalisations for existing research. I have written before on GLE about how there are a handful of overarching theories which together encompass most of econometrics.

I am thinking particularly about testing and estimation of the model Y = X.B + error where Y is a vector of current growth rates by year, X is a transposed vector of lagged determinants, and B is a coefficient vector. X can include constants and lagged terms from Y. There have been recent developments on testing whether the B term is constant across countries, and estimation and comparison of country values when the terms are not constant.

Enough already. I shall return to this theme, when the time is right.

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